Investor Insights

May 18, 2023

ABC Nightlife: Will we see a recession in 2023?

By Roger Montgomery

Roger joined Philip Clark on ABC Nightlife to discuss whether or not we are going to see a recession in 2023. Some economic commentators are predicting a recession for 2023, but are the predictions worth heeding? Are there storm clouds ahead coming from the U. S. banking system that would have a flow-on effect with credit tightening?
May 18, 2023

Ausbiz: Why technology and small caps could rally strongly

By Roger Montgomery

I joined Ausbiz to discuss what sectors are worth investigating if the U.S. Federal Reserve cuts interest rates this year. While interest rate cuts could matter in the short term, they ultimately won’t impact the returns of active investors who invest in quality growth businesses.

May 5, 2023

Ausbiz: Does the RBA need to shock the consumer?

By Roger Montgomery

I joined Ausbiz to discuss whether or not we need to see a tougher stance from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) in terms of interest rate rises. Is inflation going to get back down to the 2-3 per cent target band?

April 28, 2023

Ausbiz: Why Roger' bullish on Transurban

By Roger Montgomery

In this interview with Ausbiz Roger discusses two companies we believe have bright prospects ahead including Transurban (ASX:TCL) and Alliance Aviation services (ASX:AQZ). Roger emphasizes Transurban’s ability to secure substantial debt at very low rates, with 96.8 per cent of its debt book having interest hedging in place.

April 11, 2023

Ausbiz: Looking for growth

By Roger Montgomery

In this interview with Ausbiz Roger shares his views on the current economic landscape and its effect on interest rates. Markets typically boom in the early stages of a recession and recover as people begin to look towards the future. Will small caps begin to outperform large caps and will growth companies catch up to defensives?

April 5, 2023

ABC Nightlife: Interest rates left on hold

By Roger Montgomery

Roger joined Philip Clark on ABC Nightlife to discuss the Reserve Bank giving mortgage borrowers a reprieve, if only temporarily, by leaving interest rates on hold at the April board meeting. After ten consecutive rate rises, the RBA opted to wait and see how the economic data plays out amid early signs that the increase in rates so far is starting to weigh on consumer spending and lower inflation. What is predicted further ahead for the economy?

March 30, 2023

Crisis, contagion or QE? The bigger picture

By Roger Montgomery

In this article for Firstlinks Roger discusses the current U.S. regional banking industry crisis. Many investors are concerned SVB and Credit Suisse are the 2023 equivalent of Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers, the 2008 poster children of the GFC. However, fears of a repeat are misplaced for several reasons.


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