Investor Insights

In this section we explore investing basics, common themes and information to help guide your investing journey. 

The information provided is general information only. The information does not take into account your investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. You should consider your own investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs before acting upon any information provided in this document and consider seeking advice from a financial adviser if necessary.

August 25, 2026

Market state of play – and what to do

By Roger Montgomery

Well into the penultimate quarter of the calendar year, institutional and private investors face the paradox that record infrastructure capital expenditure, particularly by AI hyperscalers, coexists with heightened geopolitical risk, sticky inflation, and an apparent structural shift to the relationship between equities and bonds.
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August 17, 2026

How much!?!?

By Roger Montgomery

How much do the artificial intelligence (AI) hyperscalers’ businesses need to make from selling their AI tools in order to generate a decent return?
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August 6, 2026

August 2026 reporting season calendar

By Roger Montgomery

Australia’s August reporting season is now underway, with investors turning their attention from macroeconomic headlines to what ultimately matters most over the long term: company earnings and outlook statements. This reporting season arrives against the backdrop of uncertainty in the economy.
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July 27, 2026

Summarising my current AI thesis – Part 2

By Roger Montgomery

How to respond Across my articles and media commentaries, I have emphasised that preparing for an artificial intelligence (AI) re-pricing is not about timing a top or shorting tech, but rather about protecting capital through discipline, factor balance, and liquidity.
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July 27, 2026

Summarising my current AI thesis – Part 1

By Roger Montgomery

Last week, Google reported its first ever quarter of negative cash flow, surprising analysts who thought Q1 2027 would be when pressure on cash flows could seriously emerge, and causing the share price to plunge more than seven per cent.
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July 23, 2026

A crisis of quality – What’s wrong with active management?

By Roger Montgomery

When I wrote Value. able in 2010, ‘Quality’ as an investing factor was gospel, a foundational truth: buying fundamentally superior businesses at reasonable prices and holding them over the long run was the surest path to wealth creation. Individuals like Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, Mohnish Pabrai, Seth Klarman, Howard Marks and Terry Smith proved, over decades, that Quality rules.
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July 17, 2026

Watching Hyperscaler debt

By Roger Montgomery

Many years ago, I was asked by an AFR journalist whether I would revise my valuation of ABC Learning Centres, which was a tiny fraction of the traded price at the time, given the Singaporean Sovereign Wealth Fund (Temasek) had just invested in the company’s then-latest capital raise at a much higher market valuation.
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July 8, 2026

Consumer confidence – A gentle uptrend after a 53-year low

By David Buckland

Consumer confidence appears to be slowly improving after hitting its lowest level in 53 years in April 2026. While the recent uptrend is encouraging, confidence remains fragile, with household debt, cost-of-living pressures and recent interest rate increases still weighing heavily on consumers.
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July 2, 2026

Turning the page from Fiscal 2026 to Fiscal 2027

By David Buckland

As we begin Fiscal 2027, it is worth taking a step back to reflect on the major themes that shaped global markets over the past year. I explore the key developments across equities, bonds, interest rates, commodities and currencies, and consider what they may mean for investors going forward.
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