Investor Insights

Archive: December, 2025

December 30, 2025

Fear + Greed Podcast – Why private credit is booming

By Roger Montgomery

I joined Sean Aylmer for Fear and Greed’s summer series to talk about the growth of private credit, why it has expanded so quickly, and what investors should look for when assessing these opportunities. We also discussed how private credit can complement a diversified portfolio, providing an income stream that is uncorrelated to equity markets.
December 30, 2025

How AI investors could lose everything and still win

By Roger Montgomery

Who would have thought that asset bubbles are a necessary part of humanity’s advancement through technology? While most currently consider bubbles a dangerous precondition for a stock market crash, they can also be better navigated by appreciating they’re a necessary step on the road to humanity’s advancement.
December 24, 2025

Nabtrade – bubbles create a shadow: time to move out from the shade

By Roger Montgomery

In my latest article for Nabtrade, I explore why investors are rarely able to identify a bubble until after it has burst, and why the signals today suggest it may be prudent to prepare for a shift in 2026. Diversification and rebalancing is becoming increasingly important as market conditions become more turbulent.
December 12, 2025

ABC News – Are AI investors causing tech companies to be overvalued?

By Roger Montgomery

Last night, on ABC’s 7. 30 news report with Michael Rowland, I discussed whether surging investment in artificial intelligence (AI) is pushing large technology companies to unsustainable valuations. I noted that investors often become highly enthusiastic when new technologies emerge that are believed to reshape the world, but history shows this can inflate expectations.
December 12, 2025

ABC Statewide Drive – Looking ahead to 2026

By Roger Montgomery

I joined Jess Maguire on ABC Statewide Drive to reflect on how strong global markets have been over the past three years (particularly in the U. S. ) while noting that future returns are likely to be more volatile.
December 11, 2025

Ausbiz – Positioning portfolios for a more volatile 2026

By Roger Montgomery

  Today on Ausbiz with Juliette Saly, I explained that while low valuations in 2022 set the stage for strong returns, we’re now at the opposite end of the spectrum, with very high price-to-earning ratios (P/Es), elevated enthusiasm (especially around artificial intelligence) – and growing economic and geopolitical uncertainty, all of which point to lower returns and greater volatility in 2026.…
December 9, 2025

ABC Newcastle Mornings – rates hold steady

By Roger Montgomery

I joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle Mornings today to discuss the broader economic backdrop, including why interest rates are likely to remain steady for now, how household spending and cost pressures are shaping the outlook, and why global sharemarkets are being driven less by local conditions and more by international themes such as investment in artificial intelligence (AI), with…
December 1, 2025

ABC Statewide Drive – Black Friday frenzy

By Roger Montgomery

I joined Jess Maguire on ABC Statewide Drive to discuss how Black Friday has evolved from a U. S. curiosity into Australia’s biggest retail event, now eclipsing even Boxing Day. I explained how the surge in discounting can pull Christmas spending forward and boost sales – but how it can also put pressure on retailer margins.

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