If you were thinking of buying a, say, a $2 million property to renovate and flip in 18 months, Labor’s 2026 budget just made that a perilous strategy, while also making investing in an AA rated Private Credit Fund way more attractive. The 2026 Federal Budget has significantly shifted the goalposts for you.

Red Corner (Bull) Ed Yardeni I have written about and referenced both gents for years, and if you’d like to hear from them first-hand, you can subscribe to their musings on Substack. In the red corner is Ed Yardeni, founder of Yardeni Research and in the blue (bearish corner) is Michael Burry. Figure 1.

Higher global inflation and lower growth will reflect the scale of impact dependent on the length and severity of the U. S. /Iran war.   The near-term forecasts for global Gross Domestic Product (GDP) from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) use a Reference Scenario, Adverse Scenario and a Severe Scenario, as illustrated in Graph 1 below. Graph 1.

As we approach the middle of the year, markets and the global economy appear to be locked in a “tug of war” between the geopolitical shock of the war in the Middle East and the rapid maturation and deployment of artificial intelligence (AI).

Trump recently boasted on Truth Social of the US$45 billion he made for the U. S. by investing in Intel. Source: Truth Social  While the Nasdaq 100 is up 13. 32 per cent this calendar year but the gain masks much larger gains for individual artificial intelligence (AI) compute stocks.

In economics, the wealth of a nation is built and sustained through production, and that production requires three ingredients: Land, Labour, and Capital. These are the finite building blocks of prosperity. Land provides the raw materials, Labour provides the muscle and the mind to transform them, and Capital represents the tools.