Archive: March, 2026

March 11, 2026

The end is near!

By Roger Montgomery

I have often joked that billionaire Ray Dalio, the founder of hedge fund Bridgewater, has predicted 15 of the last 3 recessions. In other words, far more than transpired. It’s worth remembering the late Charlie Munger’s observation about forecasts: The only thing one needs to do to be a successful forecaster is to forecast often.
March 10, 2026

Planting the seeds: Is this the best high-yield option for 2026?

By Roger Montgomery

How to maximise your savings with higher-yield funds with competitive returns and risk. Looking to make your money work harder this year? Whether you’re looking to fund a better lifestyle, build your nest egg or simply grow some savings, you may want to read this article.
March 9, 2026

Time to grow a veggie patch?

By Roger Montgomery

I recently wrote an article for The Australian, titled, How AI boom and a liquidity crisis are threatening to upend markets. It garnered quite a few comments highlighting a range of opinions about where artificial intelligence (AI) is headed and where it might be taking humanity.
March 6, 2026

The crude reality – Why oil isn’t at $120

By Roger Montgomery

If you’ve been watching the news lately, you’ve seen the script: The Middle East is a tinderbox, the Strait of Hormuz is a “no-go” zone, and $120 oil is an inevitability according to JP Morgan. But if you look at the facts and the data, the story falls apart. Despite the headlines, oil is struggling to hold its gains.
March 6, 2026

Rethinking the core

By Roger Montgomery

For decades, Australian and global investors seeking income have depended on a traditional “Core” fixed income allocation for their portfolios, mainly consisting of government-related debt and investment-grade corporate bonds. The result is the conventional 60/40 portfolio – a widely accepted blend of equities and fixed income (bonds).
March 5, 2026

A robot butler in your home by 2036 is a fantasy

By Roger Montgomery

If you’ve spent any time on social media lately, you’ve seen them: sleek, metallic bipeds performing backflips in China, dancing to Motown, or gingerly stacking the dishwasher or placing a singular box on a shelf.
March 4, 2026

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By Roger Montgomery

April 9, last year, Donald Trump postponed his Liberation Day tariffs, fuelling a stock market rally led by artificial intelligence (AI) optimism. That optimism turned to fear this year as joy towards AI’s productivity enhancements morphed into panic about how many businesses it would destroy.
March 4, 2026

144-year-old mystery exposes an AI bubble

By Roger Montgomery

While investors look to the next Nvidia earnings call or the latest OpenELM (Open-source Efficient Language Models) release to predict the future of artificial intelligence (AI), Michael Burry – made famous for making billions shorting markets ahead of 2008 subprime crisis – recently turned to an article entitled Thought without Language, The Narrative of a Deaf-Mute, His First Thoughts and Experiences,…
March 3, 2026

The risk of underspending in retirement

By Roger Montgomery

I think a lot about how higher-yielding income products, such as the Aura Private Credit Income Fund and the Aura Core Income Fund, might fit in a retiree’s portfolio and how to articulate that.   It’s a challenge to explain, primarily because we don’t know the future.
March 2, 2026

A new ASX-listed investment bank

By Roger Montgomery

In a deal announced today, Magellan Financial Group (ASX: MFG) will buy Barrenjoey Investment Bank. For long-term investors, it could provide the opportunity to invest in another ASX-listed investment bank. Could it be the next Macquarie Bank? Of course, there is a long way to go from Barrenjoey’s $1. 6 billion valuation to Macquarie’s $76.
March 2, 2026

Data centre bottlenecks. Valuations at risk.

By Roger Montgomery

As we have outlined here on the blog many times over the last year, there just doesn’t seem to be enough money in the hands of potential customers to pay for artificial intelligence (AI) tools that would give hyperscalers a decent return on their intended capital expenditure.

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