Archive: April, 2026

April 13, 2026

Fed’s research risks a liquidity storm

By Roger Montgomery

Yikes! Did the U. S. Federal Reserve (Fed) just propose a material reduction in its balance sheet? After the war is over, investors will revert to concentrating on earnings and other thematics again, and a recent Fed research paper may give investors something to worry about. The U. S.
April 8, 2026

$6 billion hype or structural risk? Inside the Firmus ASX listing

By Roger Montgomery

The upcoming listing of Firmus on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) is being pitched as a generational opportunity to capitalise on the artificial intelligence boom, yet a closer examination of the company’s artificial intelligence (AI) Factory model reveals a series of architectural and financial cracks that prospective investors should scrutinise.
April 7, 2026

Empty promises may pop the AI bubble

By Roger Montgomery

I know everyone is focused on Iran and oil at the moment, but when the conflict eventually ends, investors will cheer…and return to the themes that previously dominated markets. And that theme is artificial intelligence (AI).
April 2, 2026

Yardeni pivots again and again

By Roger Montgomery

Pivots galore Few global macroeconomists have carried as much recent optimism as Ed Yardeni, who, as president of Yardeni Research, has spent the better part of this decade championing a ‘Roaring 2020s’ thesis – a nod to the roaring 1920s, on the back of productivity gains, technological innovation, and a resilient American consumer, Yardeni’s thesis has included a very bullish end…

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