Investor Insights

October 10, 2022

Three scenarios that could kickstart a new bull market

By Roger Montgomery

As you’ve no doubt noticed, the world’s market commentators, brokers and analysts have turned decidedly bearish. And they have good reason to be pessimistic. But this bear market will eventually end, to be followed by the next bull market. To my mind, there are three distinct economic scenarios that could kickstart the next upswing.
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October 7, 2022

Know what you own: stocks vs. businesses

By Polen Capital

Successful business owners are often said to be able to feel the pulse of the companies they lead. For instance, great restaurateurs know what dishes are most popular on the menu, who their regular patrons are, when suppliers will deliver fresh ingredients, and how much revenue is needed to cover basic expenses such as salaries and rent.
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September 28, 2022

Small to medium enterprises throughout the pandemic and beyond

By Brett Craig

Small to medium enterprises (SMEs) have been underserviced in the lending market for some time, further exacerbated by the COVID-19 global pandemic. The onset of the COVID-19 Global Pandemic in March 2020 brought shock and great uncertainty for individuals and business owners.
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September 27, 2022

Reporting season in review – a small companies perspective

By Michael Gollagher

Leading into reporting season this year, it felt more critical than usual from an investor’s perspective. This was driven mainly by the ever-changing macro backdrop which at this point in time could be argued is driving share prices more so than company fundamentals. The second key point to consider is the operating period over which reporting season resides.
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September 26, 2022

Aura Private Credit: Letter to investors 26 September 2022

By Brett Craig

The Reserve Bank of Australia has released a renewed paper reviewing how small to medium enterprises (SMEs) access funding. This report comes off the back of a July meeting with the Small Business Finance Advisory Panel, providing an update on the current state of the SME finance market.
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September 23, 2022

Why the risk-reward ratio is looking good for quality small caps

By Roger Montgomery

Since January, world markets have been selling off. As a result, a number of quality small cap businesses are now trading at very attractive multiples. Is now a good time to invest in quality small caps? Back in June, I asked the question in my whitepaper: are we there yet.
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September 13, 2022

Fintech SME lending in Australia

By Brett Craig

Fintech-based lenders have emerged since the introduction of the peer-to-peer platform Zopa in the United Kingdom in 2005. Fintech lenders aim to reduce friction in the borrowing process for their customers, reducing the turnaround time from application to funding and offer products which best suit the borrowing needs of the customer.
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September 12, 2022

Aura High Yield SME Fund: Letter to investors 09 September 2022

By Brett Craig

The RBA has raised rates for the fifth month in a row bringing the cash rate to 2. 35% with the expectation of reining in inflation by the end of the year. Largely in line with market expectations, the RBA raised the cash rate by 50 basis points. This is the highest cash rate since early 2015.
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September 12, 2022

Why we are underweight consumer discretionary companies?

By Roger Montgomery

There are no doubts some extraordinary businesses exist in the Australian consumer discretionary sector. Names like ARB, Nick Scali, JB Hi-Fi and Lovisa jump to mind as soon as talk turns to the consumer. But as we examine the shape of our portfolios, one glaring active weight is the underweighting we have to consumer discretionary companies.
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