Investor Insights

January 14, 2020

What could wreck markets in 2020?

By Roger Montgomery

As we begin the new decade, market conditions seem rosy after stellar results for calendar year 2019. Policymakers remain supportive and market commentators are predicting another good year for equities. So what could go wrong? In this exclusive article for Livewire Roger discuss how investors protect themselves from risks. Read here.
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January 9, 2020

Housing momentum builds towards a high

By Roger Montgomery

In this article for the Herald Sun Roger shares a review of the Australian housing market in 2019. Today, we can say that not only did the May 2019 federal election mark the low for Aussie house prices, but that there is little to stop prices from continuing to climb higher. Read here.
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December 20, 2019

Rate cuts alone can’t kickstart economy

By Roger Montgomery

In this article for the Herald Sun Roger discusses why a cut in interest rates won’t be enough for the economy.   While rate cuts are helpful, they are more effective when combined with fiscal policy.  Read here.
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December 20, 2019

A simple method to help mitigate sequencing risks

By Roger Montgomery

In this article for Firstlinks Roger identifies how to mitigate sequencing risk. When an investor is required to make regular withdrawals regardless of the market level, capital losses experienced early in retirement can be deleterious.  Sequencing risk, which describes the pattern of investor returns, or the order in which they are received, therefore looms large for retirees.
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December 16, 2019

Why economists often get it wrong

By Roger Montgomery

In this article for the Australian Roger discusses why economists often get things wrong. According to the ergodicity problem in economics, economists have been making a repeated mistake in their assumption about human behaviour and it has infected economic models that seek to explain everything from trading bitcoin and gambling, to insurance and switching jobs. Read here.  
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December 11, 2019

Money News 10.12.2019

By Roger Montgomery

Roger joined Ross Greenwood on Money News for the final time for 2019 to discuss the Aussie banks. The banks make a lot of money when interest rates are high, credit spreads are low and yield curves are steep. Although we are currently experiencing the opposite conditions, which could result in a tougher period ahead for the big banks.
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December 9, 2019

Avita tech revolutionising care for burn patients, says CEO

Carrie LaFrenz published an article in the Australian Financial Review discussing how Avita Medical’s spray-on skin product is revolutionising care for burn patients. Carrie draws on Joseph’s comment that they are right on path with the reimbursement area. Read here.
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December 5, 2019

Avita on Mad Money

By Roger Montgomery

Sometimes value is visible in plain sight. Avita Medical’s (ASX: AVH) RECELL technology solution for burns patients represents the commercialisation of the invention of West Australian, Fiona Wood.
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December 5, 2019

Money News 04.12.2019

By Roger Montgomery

Roger Montgomery joined Ross Greenwood on Money News to discuss why unconventional monetary policy options haven’t really worked to stimulate the economy. Should we have had a recession instead?
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December 4, 2019

ABC Nightlife – stock markets fall

By Roger Montgomery

In this radio program with Philip Clark, Roger discusses market outlooks following the dismal day on Tuesday, with the Australian share marketing dropping more than 2 per cent and every company in the top 50 declining. Listen here.
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