Investor Insights

May 8, 2019

It’s unlikely Uber has a long-term future

By Roger Montgomery

In this article for Cuffelinks Roger discusses the hottest IPO of 2019, Uber. When Uber’s private equity owners and other shareholders hinted they were ready to float in late 2018, a valuation of up to US$120 billion was quickly adopted following investment banker indications. Although is its future really that bright? Read here.  
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May 8, 2019

Money News 07.05.2019

By Roger Montgomery

In this interview on Money News, Roger discusses the RBA’s decision to keep rates on hold. Cutting rates without more relaxed lending standards won’t make a difference, we need to see the banks have the ability to lend within a sensible stress-lending test. Will this create issues if unemployment spikes?
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May 1, 2019

Money News 01.05.2019

By Roger Montgomery

In this interview on Money News, Roger discusses the companies which have recently released trading updates due to the housing downturn. Beacon Lighting has downgraded, Super Retail Group revealed strong sales growth however noting an impact on margins, and Domain’s update shows weaker revenue trends.
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April 30, 2019

Counting the cost of the fallout in Aussie housing

By Roger Montgomery

In this article for the Herald Sun Roger discusses the reason behind reduced optimism. Spending over the past few years has been borrowed from the never-never with household debt at record highs. If something cannot go on forever, it must stop. And this is what we have seen with consumers drawing down on savings. Read here.
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April 29, 2019

US earnings season delivers for the believers

Vesna Poljak published an article in the Australian Financial Review which discusses some results from the US earnings season and how the digital giants triumphed with reliable earnings growth. Vesna mentions George’s view on Facebook. Read here.
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April 26, 2019

Big float unlikely to smooth Uber’s bumpy future

By Roger Montgomery

In this article for the Herald Sun Roger takes a closer look at the Uber IPO. It is likely to be one of the biggest floats of the decade, rumoured to be aiming for a $US100 billion valuation. Although there are few things investors need to be aware of. Read here.
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April 24, 2019

Money News 23.04.2019

By David Buckland

In this interview on Money News, David questions whether the current rally in equities is sustainable. Despite headwinds in the outlook for Australian companies impacting profits and share prices, what sectors have the potential to exceed expectations?
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April 15, 2019

Trading Day Live featuring Roger Montgomery: 11 April 2019

By Roger Montgomery

Roger appeared on Your Money’s Trading Day Live to discuss housing construction.  With residential construction declining, and possibly even halving – how will the 3. 5 per cent of Australia’s workforce employed by the area be impacted? Will we see unemployment rise?
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April 11, 2019

Unicorns stampede in my nightmares

By Roger Montgomery

In this article for the Herald Sun Roger discusses the line of IPOs that are planning to list this year. Exuberant valuations, zero profits and knowledgeable private equity owners lining up to sell their stakes all paints a dangerous picture for stocks. Read here.
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April 10, 2019

Money News 09.04.2019

By Roger Montgomery

In this interview on Money News, Roger discusses the dislocation between the stock market and economic growth. Another topic included bank earnings, the Commonwealth Bank of Australia cut rates on home lending products. Why?
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April 9, 2019

Buy Hold Sell: picking winners from the losers

By Roger Montgomery

Roger joined Livewire’s exclusive Buy Hold Sell to discuss what the structural challenges facing the car industry mean for Automotive Holdings Group, the battle confronting Kogan and Bellamy’s continued push into China.
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