Investor Insights

May 23, 2025

Opportunities amid the uncertainty for investors who stay focused

By Roger Montgomery

This week U. S. President Donald Trump has executed something of an about-face on tariffs on Chinese imports, and predictably the market extended its celebration. This article was first published in The Australian on 16 May 2025. The U. S. -China tariff agreement announced on 12 May, marked a significant de-escalation in trade tensions.
May 19, 2025

Ausbiz – bull vs bear market outlook for 2025

By Roger Montgomery

Last week, I joined Juliette Saly on Ausbiz to discuss the contrasting bull and bear market outlooks for 2025. On the bearish side, concerns are mounting over a weakening global and U. S. economy. Bears point to falling earnings expectations, a decline in containership activity, cuts to U. S. capital expenditure plans, rising manufacturing costs, and deteriorating consumer sentiment.
May 17, 2025

ABC Nightlife – U.S. Economy

By Roger Montgomery

This week, I spoke with Phil Clark on ABC Nightlife about the latest moves from the Trump administration and their impact on the U. S. economy. We looked at how markets are reacting to Trump’s 90-day tariff pause amid ongoing policy flip-flops that are shaking investor confidence.
May 2, 2025

Cash is king when it’s used effectively

By Roger Montgomery

In the world of investing, few ­assets are as polarising as cash. On one hand, holding cash in an environment where interest rates lag inflation guarantees a loss of purchasing power. On the other hand, cash can be a powerful tactical tool for seizing opportunities, particularly in times of market distress.
May 1, 2025

Ausbiz – 100 days of Trump

By Roger Montgomery

I joined Juliette Saly on Ausbiz to discuss the first 100 days of the Trump administration, which has been marked by controversial executive orders, mass deportations, ‘January 6’ pardons, and of course – tariffs.
April 29, 2025

A return to fundamentals

By Roger Montgomery

It seems like a distant memory now, but 2025 began with an upbeat outlook, buoyed by deregulation and robust earnings. By February, however, the mood shifted as the U. S. released a significant trade policy document, hinting at a tough stance towards its trading partners.
February 26, 2025

Shares for beginners – liquidity lubrication

By Roger Montgomery

I joined Philip Muscatello on the Shares for Beginners podcast to discuss the outlook for 2025, shifting market conditions, and where investors should focus in the year ahead. We explored the impact of disinflation, robust economic growth, and liquidity shifts on global markets, as well as the role of artificial intelligence (AI) and innovative companies.
February 26, 2025

February – ABC Statewide Drive

By Roger Montgomery

Last week, I joined Jess McGuire on ABC Statewide Drive to discuss the current reporting season. Share prices are reacting more sharply to earnings surprises, with around four companies beating estimates for every one that misses. Dividend per share results are also exceeding forecasts at a two-to-one rate, driving company outlook upgrades.

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