Investor Insights

In this section we explore investing basics, common themes and information to help guide your investing journey. 

The information provided is general information only. The information does not take into account your investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. You should consider your own investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs before acting upon any information provided in this document and consider seeking advice from a financial adviser if necessary.

June 22, 2020

Limits on growth

Value investing involves buying something for less than it is worth. In concept this is simple, but in practice it involves the more challenging task of estimating the future growth of cashflows over coming decades. There are certain types of businesses that have characteristics that allow for multiple S-curve growth patterns.
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May 21, 2020

Where models fail

At Montaka we consider ourselves value investors. That is, we aim to buy a dollar of value for less than it is worth. Inherent in this approach is estimating the intrinsic value of an investment, and we use financial models to achieve this.
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April 8, 2020

Part I: How reliable is Total Addressable Market (TAM) analysis?

By Amit Nath

A helpful mental model that we often incorporate into our research process at Montaka Global is Total Addressable Market (TAM) analysis. Through this process, we attempt to estimate how large the revenue opportunity is for a particular business. However, the picture isn’t quite as linear as it sounds. For example, take the advertising industry as it currently stands.
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March 5, 2020

The importance of a Competitive Advantage Period

Competitive Advantage Period is a key investment concept that is often overlooked by investors. An understanding of this concept can help investors better determine what they’re paying for when they buy a stock. Under the expectations investing framework which the Montaka team utilises extensively, one key component that attracts less consideration is the Competitive Advantage Period (CAP).
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February 26, 2020

Are you overweight in growth stocks?

In an uncertain world, should investors have a strategy that looks beyond current trends and accommodates a range of different possible futures? In recent years growth stocks have had a winning streak, is now a good time to consider shifting the balance of your holdings towards companies that can demonstrate the ability to generate profits today.
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February 19, 2020
WHITE PAPERS

Is it time to rebalance your retirement portfolio?

By Roger Montgomery

In the current environment of ultra-low interest rates, generating enough income for retirement can be challenging. Instead of being able to add to their nest egg, many retirees find themselves needing to withdraw capital to make up a shortfall between their lifestyle requirements and their income.
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February 13, 2020

Are quality businesses set to shine again?

Some years ago, we put together a notional “High-minus-low quality” portfolio, which holds long positions in ASX-listed companies that we consider to be high-quality, and short positions in companies that we consider to be lower-quality. The absolute return from this portfolio provides an indication of whether the higher quality companies are outperforming the lower-quality companies.
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February 3, 2020

What’s behind the weak performance of quantitative investing?

Equity markets have been very kind to investors in recent years, with stock indices setting new records in Australia and overseas. Notwithstanding some episodes of turbulence along the way, these good results continue a decade-long run of mainly positive returns following the depths of the GFC in early 2009.
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January 31, 2020

Does valuation not matter for high quality businesses?

One characteristic of a high-quality business is its ability to grow its intrinsic value over time. So does that mean that it’s possible to overpay for a high quality business and then wait for it to “grow into its valuation”? This depends on a number of things which we will attempt to tease out.
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