September 4, 2025

Do new highs make sense?

By Roger Montgomery

There is considerable academic and market commentary showing that equity markets often take time – sometimes weeks or months – to digest new information fully. While Eugene Fama’s efficient market hypothesis posits that prices reflect available information almost instantly, we know that information is not evenly distributed.
August 29, 2025

Woolworths financial year 2025 results

By Roger Montgomery

Woolworths Group (ASX:WOW), one half of Australia’s supermarket duopoly, just released its full-year results for the 2025 financial year. The numbers painted a picture of significant headwinds and a planned recovery. The results were largely in line with consensus expectations, but the company spelled out a softer-than-anticipated outlook, triggering a sharp sell-off in the stock.
August 25, 2025

Reece – a tough outlook anticipated for fiscal 2026

By David Buckland

The Reece Limited (ASX: REH) share price has recorded a rough year, down around 60 per cent from A$29. 20 to sub A$12. 00. The company reported its results for the 12 months to 30 June, and it appears pressure on the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margin from 7. 4 per cent in fiscal 2024 to 6.
August 25, 2025

DAFM' Digital Income Class is a valuable portfolio diversifier

By David Buckland

In today’s volatile and uncertain market environment, many investors are looking beyond the traditional 60/40 portfolio of equities and fixed income to generate reliable returns. There is growing interest in alternative investment strategies that can offer consistent income, lower volatility, and diversification from traditional asset classes.
August 25, 2025

Super Retail Group financial year 2025 results

By Roger Montgomery

Super Retail Group (ASX: SUL), the parent company of brands like Supercheap Auto (SCA), Rebel Sport, BCF, and Macpac, just released its full-year 2025 results, delivering a strong performance and beating consensus net profit after tax (NPAT) and earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) expectations on the back of accelerating like-for-like (LFL) sales growth, better-than-expected gross margins, and tight cost…
August 24, 2025

Montgomery partners with Digital Asset Funds Management on innovative Digital Income Fund

By David Buckland

We are pleased to announce an exclusive partnership with Sydney-based Digital Asset Funds Management (DAFM), offering wholesale investors access to the Digital Income Fund. The Fund’s Digital Income Class is a market-neutral strategy that captures volatility and arbitrage opportunities in Bitcoin and Ethereum futures markets, aiming to generate returns regardless of whether prices are rising or falling.
August 24, 2025

Path forward for Australia to implement nuclear power generation

By Roger Montgomery

Australia’s longstanding objection to nuclear power stems from a combination of historical, environmental, and political factors. The country has abundant uranium reserves but no operational nuclear power plants, with federal bans under the Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act 1999 and the Australian Radiation Protection and Nuclear Safety Act 1998 prohibiting their construction.
August 23, 2025

ARB’s financial year 2025 results and outlook

By Roger Montgomery

ARB’s financial year 2025 ( FY25) results reflect a challenging environment, with a four per cent profit before tax (PBT) miss driven by lower gross margins. The Thai Baht’s strength and lower factory recoveries (more on this below) squeezed margins, a trend exacerbated by ARB’s unhedged foreign exchange (FX) exposure.
August 23, 2025

Liquidity, debt, and what it means for equities

By Roger Montgomery

In an interview earlier this month, Michael Howell of CrossBorder Capital  delivered his analysis of the global liquidity environment and its implications for financial markets. His message to investors was clear: liquidity, not interest rates or economic cycles, remains the true driver of asset performance – and right now, the liquidity tide is rising. But as always, tides reverse.

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