Investor Insights

February 13, 2026

Summing up the bear case for AI

By Roger Montgomery

The artificial intelligence (AI) industry is currently grappling with what some experts call a ‘trillion-dollar math problem’. The numbers might not stack up because customers might simply lack the funds to spend on AI tools to allow hyperscalers to achieve a decent return on their AI infrastructure investment.
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February 11, 2026

Commonwealth Bank 1H26 results and AI update

By Roger Montgomery

Commonwealth Bank (ASX: CBA), under the guidance of CEO Matt Comyn, has once again proven why it’s considered the best Australian bank. Despite a muddy economic backdrop and fierce competition in the mortgage market, the bank’s half-year FY26 (1H26) results beat analyst expectations (again).
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February 11, 2026

One more nail? Or is that it?

By Roger Montgomery

Former CEO, public speaker and author, Jay Grewal once said, “When it comes to the final nail in your coffin, it doesn’t matter if it’s dull or sharp, it’ll still hold, because a lifetime of prior nails have helped seal that coffin shut.
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February 6, 2026

Is the creative destruction phase beginning?

By Roger Montgomery

Last year, I posted a blog entitled ‘But Nothing’s Changed’, describing how the artificial intelligence (AI) bubble and market boom could end. I explained how investors will realise that even though AI technology – hailed as the 4th Industrial Revolution – will change the course of human history, it probably won’t do so tomorrow.
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February 6, 2026

Investors are selling the disruptors and the disrupted

By Roger Montgomery

On December 18, in a blog entitled Time Magazine Cover Curse, I wrote, “…Gracing the cover of the [TIME] mag isn’t a coronation but a harbinger of doom, because the moment a public figure has permeated the public discourse sufficiently to land the cover, the trajectory inevitably reverses.
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February 4, 2026

Not so comfortable in luxury

By Roger Montgomery

It has struck me as curious that one of the sectors of the global market that was hit after the pandemic lockdowns were lifted but has generally failed to recover, is luxury retail.
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January 27, 2026

Montgomery Small Companies Fund 2025 year in review

By Scott Phillips

  2025 was a strong year for small companies and for the Montgomery Small Companies Fund. In this detailed video, I’m joined by Gary Rollo, Co-Portfolio Manager of the Montgomery Small Companies Fund to review the Fund’s performance, key market drivers, and the outlook for small caps and growth companies heading into 2026.
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January 7, 2026

Ausbiz – 2026 outlook and opportunities in small-caps

By Roger Montgomery

  I joined Juliette Saly on Ausbiz to reflect on how markets closed out in 2025 and what may lie ahead in 2026. Last year was again dominated by artificial intelligence (AI) and the Magnificent Seven (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Nvidia and Tesla).
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